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DTN Midday Grain Comments 11/12 11:05
Corn, Soybeans and Wheat All Lower at Midday Thursday
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday, soybeans are 10 to 11 cents
lower, and wheat futures are 7 to 11 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
The U.S. stock market is firmer at midday with the S&P up 19 points. The
U.S. Dollar Index is 25 points higher. The interest rate products are weaker.
Energy trade is mixed with crude up .40 and natural gas up .05. Livestock trade
is firmer with feeder cattle leading. Precious metals are weaker with gold
120.00 lower.
CORN:
Corn futures are 2 to 3 cents lower at midday with trade fading again
despite slowly firming spread action as negative spillover from soybean and
wheat limit upside. Ethanol margins remain solid even with the energies
pullback with the weekly report expected to be show steady production and
stocks. Basis should continue to firm seasonally as harvest winds down. The
daily wire was quiet with weekly sales expected to be in the 2.75 to 3.00
million metric ton range tomorrow. Harvest should resume with more open
short--term weather as we wind down further. On the December chart the 20-day
at $4.52 is nearby resistance which we tested post report. Chart support is at
the $4.34 lower Bollinger Band and $4.38 fresh low area.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 10 to 11 cents lower with action fading through the day
session with firming spreads and broad product weakness. Meal is 2.50 to 3.50
lower and oil is 45 to 55 points lower. The last stretch of harvest should
resume towards the end of the week as weather opens back up. The daily export
wire saw 136,000 metric tons sold to China with weekly sales expected to be in
the 1.2 to 1.4 million metric ton range tomorrow. Basis should start to firm as
shipping and processors chew through the harvest bushels with supportive crush
margins. On the January contract support is the fresh low at $11.84 with
resistance the 20-day at 12.35.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 7 to 11 cents lower at midday with trade fading back from
the strong close yesterday as oversold conditions continue to persist with
little fresh news overall, and the dollar holding near the highs to limit
upside. Open weather should allow the remaining winter wheat to continue to
establish better stands. Matif wheat is easing back after the solid gains
yesterday, while Matif corn firms again. Weekly export sales are expected to be
in the 200,000 to 400,000 metric ton range. On the KC December chart resistance
is the 20-day at $6.53. Chart support is the fresh low at $6.22.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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