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DTN Midday Grain Comments 05/15 11:00
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures Lower at Midday Friday
Corn futures are 10 to 11 cents lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are
17 to 18 cents lower; wheat futures are 21 to 26 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 10 to 11 cents lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are
17 to 18 cents lower; wheat futures are 21 to 26 cents lower. The U.S. stock
market is sharply lower at midday with the S&P 65 points lower. The U.S. Dollar
Index is 50 points higher. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade
is sharply higher with crude up 3.45 and natural gas up .06. Livestock trade is
mixed with cattle leading. Precious metals are sharply lower with gold off
135.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 10 to 11 cents lower at midday with risk-off selling across
ags returning with little news from the China summit to boost bulls along with
better rains for the center of the belt expected. Ethanol margins are improving
with the corn pullback with unleaded bouncing to boost blenders. Basis likely
continues to hold the recent range for now. Open weather and temps edging back
higher after Friday should support planting through midmonth with rains
expected for many this weekend. On the July chart, support is the lower
Bollinger Band at $4.56 with resistance the 20-day moving average at $4.71,
which we faded through Thursday.
SOYBEANS:
Soybeans are 17 to 18 cents lower at midday with products holding up better
as long liquidation continues in the absence of fresh China commitments. Meal
is 1.50 to 2.50 higher and oil is 30 to 40 points higher. South America will
continue to control the short-term export market post-harvest, with trade still
waiting for commitments for fall U.S. bushels. Basis should remain flat with
crush margins mostly holding. The daily export wire saw 155,000 metric tons
(mt) of meal to Italy. Planting and emergence should roll along to the weekend.
On the July contract, chart support is the lower Bollinger Band at $11.60 with
resistance the 20-day moving average at $11.92.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 21 to 26 cents lower at midday as we continue to ease
overbought conditions as we see negative spillover from row crops, while the
Kansas wheat tour continues to illustrate the decline in conditions. Warmer
weather will likely hold this week with better rains expected next week for
many, although it will likely to be too late to help a lot in the west. Matif
wheat is weaker as well. On the KC July chart, support is the 20-day moving
average at $6.86, which we are testing at midday, with the fresh high at $7.50
as resistance.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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